ELECTION ANALYSIS
By Joel Skousen
RepublicBroadcasting.org
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This country was not crafted as a democracy. It was a republic of individual sovereign states. Democratic elements were there, to be sure, but they were strictly limited by a constitution which restricts the lawmaking powers of the majority. Rights of the individuals were stipulated and the lawmaking authority was delegated to representatives of the states, not the people at large. But our constitutional limits have been gradually interpreted away by the courts and we have become more of a democracy than a Republic with all the inherent dangers of a tyranny-by-the-majority. What has become apparent, after this week’s victory for Obama, is that adherents to limited government are no longer the majority in this nation. Where do we go from here?
First, let’s analyze the results: Obama won all of the swing states except North Carolina, gaining a total of 302 electoral votes (331 if Florida holds for Obama) to Romney’s 206. The popular vote count was much closer, separated by a mere 3 million votes out of 120 million.
As I predicted, the Powers That Be (PTB) pulled out all the stops to re-elect Obama. It was a must-win election for two reasons: 1) to preserve and solidify the implementation of Obamacare, the foot-in-the-door legislation leading to total government control of health care in America. 2) to make sure that Romney, the non-insider, did not gain access the White House. There are too many illegal operations and black operation going on (like the Benghazi stand down order) and they fear what a non-puppet president may see and object to.
Do not confuse Romney’s bending over backward to please the establishment with being an insider. That’s a reflection of excess ambition and blindness to conspiracy. The PTB don’t allow moral people inside the dark side of government. They may use them as useful idiots and fronts, but they don’t let them inside. They want people against whom they have blackmail-able offenses —lots of dirt to make sure they are controllable. Obama has so many skeletons and has been afforded so much protection against discovery of his foreign status that he doesn’t dare disobey orders.
However, the polls may not have been as skewed as I thought, in order to project Obama as the likely winner. I’m sure there was some push-polling, but they may not have had to do too much this time. It appears that 12 million people stayed home that voted in 2008, which may have given the advantage to the millions of minorities and illegals the leftist brigades registered to vote for Obama.
In other words, the results were skewed as much by illegal registrations as they were by electronic fraud. The Democratic political machines, labor unions, and Leftist activists like ACORN went all out registering millions of ineligible voters, and driving them to the polls to make sure they voted—sometimes more than once at different locations.
Controlled judges in swing states helped out by blocking new state voter ID requirements, even though it’s normal in most states to require ID at the polls. Democratic Pundits chimed in that the voter ID requirement was like the old poll tax—denying poor minorities access to the polls. But it was nothing of the sort. Every citizen has ID or can easily get one. It doesn’t disenfranchise anyone except illegals, who shouldn’t be voting anyway. In Pennsylvania a judge simply blocked implementation until after the election—a blatant pro-Democrat political move.
It looks like there is now a solid block of pro-government votes that isn’t going to shrink in size, especially as more austerity measures are imposed in future budget slowdowns. There will be no actual cuts in federal spending overall. In fact, we’ll see a much faster growth in the benefit-corrupted majority as government uses the continual economic problems to bolster support for more government bailouts and aid—from unemployment compensation, to disaster aid. Everyone seems to be for limited government until they want something the free market won’t give them.
Sadly, it looks like we have crossed the point where good conservatives and libertarians have been out-voted. 120 million people cast votes, which means that millions stayed home. The way that the Republicans mistreated Ron Paul supporters at the Tampa convention certainly ensured that most would never vote for Romney. But the majority of those that stayed home are too lazy and apathetic to vote and are most likely not the kind of voters who will support real change.
The Possibility of Vote Fraud
: Yes, I believe there is a lot of vote fraud going on—though most of it now goes on unseen in the bowels of computer tabulations—almost impossible to trace. However, we do see when impossible glitches surface, like this: Godfatherpolitics reported that "A couple from Forest Park showed up yesterday at the polls to vote just like they have ever since they turned 18. When it was their turn, they were both told that they had already voted via absentee ballot. The couple said that they have never voted absentee and wanted to know how this could happen. Precinct officials told them that they could fill out a provisional ballot, which they did.
"Before long, a number of other voters in the same precinct were told the same thing, that they had already voted via absentee ballots and that they also needed to fill out a provisional ballot. Eventually, voting officials said that the mistake was due to ‘human error’ and that anyone else in the same situation would likewise have to cast a provisional ballot. In Ohio, provisional ballots are not counted until 10 days after the election."
In one precinct of Pennsylvania 99% of the voters voted for Obama. Even in an all-black precinct, that kind of one sided voting doesn’t happen, unless there is fraud or coercion. Also, it is important that very little exit polling occurred in this election, and almost none of it reported. Exit polling results are what keeps the PTB from skewing the electronic tallies too far. Without it, they are free to do as much as they need. Apparently, the establishment did not want exit polling to showcase any difference with the official tallies.
Congressional Results
: The House remains in Republican hands (234 Rep to 195 Dems), but establishment hack John Boehner needs to be replaced, if conservatives expect to defund Obamacare and other Leftist causes.
The Senate gained in Democratic strength (54 Dems to 45 Rep) which, combined with predictable liberal Republicans means there is a real chance the president can push through dangerous UN treaties and liberal Supreme Court nominees that would not otherwise pass in the former Congress.
Here were key Senate race results:
Almost all won by liberal Democrats:
Wisconsin
: Lesbian Tammy Baldwin (D) beat establishment conservative former Gov. Tommy Thompson (R)
Missouri
: Claire McCaskill (D) beat Todd Akin (R) after the media pounced on Akin’s unwise remark about "legitimate rape."
Indiana
: Joe Donnelly (D) beat Richard Mourdock (R) after another rape misstatement the media wouldn’t let go of: that pregnancy resulting from rape was ‘something God intended.’"
Virginia:
Tim Kaine (D) narrowly defeated for Gov. George Allen (R) in an expensive race.
Massachusetts
: Liberal Elizabeth Warren (D) beat Liberal Republican Scott Brown (R)
Ohio
: Establishment favorite Sherrod Brown (D) defeated Josh Mandel (R)
Connecticut:
Chris Murphy (D) defeated business woman Linda McMahon (R) for retiring Joe Lieberman’s Senate Seat.
Pennsylvania
: Bob Casey (D) defeated Tom Smith (R)
Florida
: Bill Nelson (D) defeated establishment conservative Connie Mack (whose wife, Rep Mary Bono Mack (R), also lost her House seat in California).
Maine
: Maine elected former Gov. Angus King (Independent), to replace liberal Republican Olympia Snowe.
The only Republican win was in Mississippi: Roger Wicker (R) defeated Albert Gore (D), distant relation to the infamous Al Gore.
Key House losses
for black conservatives were Allen West (probable, though recount on the way) and Mia Love of Utah, challenging Democrat Scott Matheson. Conservative/Libertarian Art Robinson lost his second bid to unseat corrupt Democrat Peter DeFazio in Oregon. DeFazio put up billboards misrepresenting Robinson’s positions, deceptively masking their origin so as to give the impression they were put up by Robinson. Robinson is suing him in court for that stunt.
Rep. Roscoe Bartlett (R, MD), a 10-term conservative incumbent, lost his seat to gerrymandering as his district was redrawn to include many more Democrats. Florida Democrat Joe Garcia defeated GOP Rep. David Rivera and in Texas, Republican freshman Quico Canseco was defeated. California elected many new Democratic representatives, as the state turns increasingly to the Left.
House Saves for Conservatives
: Rep. Michele Bachmann has narrowly won a fourth term as she defeated Democrat Jim Graves. Steve King of Iowa defeated Christie Vilsack, the former first lady of Iowa. Staunch conservative/libertarian Justin Amash won reelection in Grand Rapids MI, by 9 points, but that victory was down from his 22 point victory last election.
Small businessman and Texas state representative Randy Weber, won Ron Paul’s vacated seat in the 14th district, defeating former Democratic Congressman Nick Lambson. While Weber is no Ron Paul, he was voted the "most conservative member" of the Texas State House.
Did the anti-Romney vote on the Right sink the GOP?
The Ron Paul movement is the largest anti-establishment, pro-constitution movement in the United States. The total votes for Paul in the Primaries was 1,227,000. Due to all the reports of vote fraud it was probably more like 1,300,000. There are an estimated additional 100-200,000 in independent ranks who did not vote in a Republican primary, but would have voted for Paul had he been in the general election.
The most recent totals I have for votes cast for third party candidates is just shy of 2,000,000.
Libertarians (Johnson): 1,300,000
Green Party (Stein) 400,000
Constitution (Goode): 110,000
Peace and Freedom (Barr): 50,000
Justice Party (Anderson): 35,000
others 150,000
The popular vote difference between Romney and Obama was about 3,000,000. Even if all the Constitution and Libertarian votes had gone to Romney, it would not have equaled the difference in popular vote. However, if we consider only the swing states, it may have given Romney the minimum win necessary: In New Hampshire, Florida, Ohio, and Virginia the margin of victory for Obama was considerably less than the total of Ron Paul supporters voting.
If we assume that all of the Ron Paul people voted third party, it would have been enough votes to deny Romney the victory. However, some of the Paulists did vote for Romney as the "lesser of two evils," and thus we cannot be sure that all of those RP primary totals can be counted as potential extra Romney votes. In like manner, almost all of the Green Party, Peace and Freedom and Justice party votes would have accrued to Obama, had they not voted in protest. My conclusion is that the Ron Paul protest vote was close to denying Romney the victory—but only in the swing states.
Nevertheless, it doesn’t pay for Republicans to vent their anger at principled people who won’t vote for the lesser of two evils. Save your anger for the unthinking moderates and liberals who are now the majority and getting bigger. They are the real enemy of liberty, albeit in large part due to ignorance and bad education. Millions of Americans are swayed each election by sophisticated globalists and shills for government that dominate the airwaves and give respectability to socialist philosophies that should be viewed rightfully as direct violations of other’s property rights.
Key Ballot Issue Losses:
Florida voters rejected a ban on taxpayer-funded abortion and the legalization of marijuana in four counties. They rejected a measure that would have exempted residents from the Obamacare mandate.
Wyoming, Florida, Alabama, and Montana also had ballot measures that would prohibit any individual or employer from being forced to participate in Obamacare but few doubt the courts would uphold them since they believe Federal law pre-empts state law. While the Supreme Court has ruled that the tax penalty of Obamacare is constitutional, which qualifies for federal pre-emption, the health portion does not, which states can decline to participate in. I predict that few will exercise that state’s right now that all legal battles against it appear to be lost.
Traditional marriage supporters also suffered a big blow Tuesday after all four states that had ballot initiatives on same-sex marriage – Maryland, Maine, Minnesota and Washington State – voted in favor of gay marriage. Previously, voters had chosen to protect traditional marriage. That leaves only 32 states left where Americans overwhelmingly support marriage as the exclusive union of a man and woman.
GMO labeling in California (Prop 37) was defeated due to an unprecedented $45 Million scare campaign funded by Monsanto, et al. Several states are jumping on the bandwagon to approve property tax exemptions for military service personnel and veterans. They should be giving exemptions to those who home school or who pay for private schooling, instead.
The mainstream explanation for Romney’s loss is mostly about missteps in his professional campaign team. They point fingers at his advisors mismanagement of the timing of his criticism of Obama during the attacks on the various embassies after the emergence of the anti-Muslim video provocation. When the ambassador to Libya was killed the media allowed all that sympathy to accrue to Obama.
Here’s an inside view from Daniel Larison: "Within hours, on the advice of his messaging shop and with the blessing of his foreign policy advisers, Romney approved a statement that accused Obama of sympathizing with anti-American interests in the Muslim world [a standard neocon charge that masks the globalist agenda which promotes the Muslim threat to a greater extent than it really exists]. It was sent out shortly after 10 p.m.
"By sunrise the next day, it was clear to Romney that they had acted too quickly. The campaign learned that four Americans had been killed in an attack on a U.S. mission in Benghazi, Libya, including Ambassador J. Christopher Stevens. Even to some Republicans, Romney's hasty statement looked insensitive. ‘We screwed up, guys,’ Romney told aides on a conference
call that morning, according to multiple people on the call. ‘This is not good.’
"His advisers told him that, if he took back his statement, the neoconservative wing of the party would ‘take his head off.’ [Do you see the irony here? His neocon advisors are telling him how "the other neocons" are going to criticize him. When a candidate doesn’t really know what side his advisors are on, or refuses to see, it’s easy for him to be manipulated in this manner]. So Romney understood that he and his campaign had erred, he knew that they ought to retract the statement, but instead of doing that he defended his initial response [something Romney often does out of pride] and refused to let it go because he was afraid of the backlash from neoconservatives."
But now that he was successfully neutered in the attack on Obama, Romney was even less able to take advantage as the story unfolded a month later about the stand down orders to US Special Forces, ensuring that the Ambassador didn’t survive. That could have been the death knell to Obama but the media refused to cover it. They also spiked the story about the sacking of an Army general and a Navy Admiral for refusing those orders. Romney’s advisors could have really done damage to Obama, but they joined in quashing those "evil conspiracy theories." I doubt if Romney even knew about the wider ramifications of the stand down order, so controlled is the flow of information once he begins receiving "daily briefings" from the CIA—who are experts in hiding crucial truths from politicians and the public.
Romney’s advisors
had a tough job. Being neocons and globalists they had a mission to appear to be helping him, while quietly making sure that his campaign was not as effective as it could be. Romney was never allowed to venture toward taking advantage of Obama’s secret background as a foreigner (the birther-gate issue). He was never allowed to focus on how Obama got wealthy ($8-$14 million, estimated) when never having a salary over $100k until recently. He was talked into reneging on his anti-abortion promises, and compromised on accepting a lot of Obamacare into his promised reform of the euphemistically titled Affordable Health Care Act. None of these helped his appeal to his base, and it turned out Romney didn’t get enough of the independent vote to make a difference. It was a lackluster campaign, as Romney was more interested in avoiding traps than making a difference.
The establishment isn’t satisfied with defeating Romney. They want to make sure that third parties or anti-establishment champions like Ron Paul never gain traction again. Justin Raimundo wrote about the shenanigans in California to keep third parties down:
"Take the case of Richard Winger, the third party expert and political analyst, editor of Ballot Access News, who, together with other interested parties, sued the state of California so that all candidates would have an equal right to show their party label on the ballot. With the passage of an ‘open primary’ law, which effectively abolished third parties, California's third party candidates couldn't even identify themselves on the ballot. The lawsuit failed, however, and the judge ruled that the plaintiffs had to pay the court costs of the big corporate moneybags who had sponsored the ‘open primary’ legislation to being with. Winger and his fellow third partiers got a bill for $243,279.50."
Most importantly the demographic trends in this country are ominous and do not portend a recovery of liberty. From now on there is going to be a lot of pressure on the Republican Party to compromise—to offer amnesty to illegals, and every other government benefit they can use to "win over" the growing benefit-corrupted majority. From now on it will be almost impossible to keep the Republican Party on its stated mission of smaller government.
The Next Four Years: Here’s what we have in store with another four years of a globalist puppet in the White House:
1) Renewed effort to overthrow the government of Bashar al Assad of Syria, which will pave the way for the long-awaited attack on Iran. The US will quickly exhaust the facade of negotiations and start building a justification to attack. Britain will now be more engaged on Syria and PM Cameron is already calling on Obama to join in the attack.
2) A big push to enact the UN Treaty against small arms. As the Second Amendment foundation wrote, "Less than 24 hours after winning re-election, President Barack Obama’s administration joined with China, France, Germany and the United Kingdom, and more than 150 other governments, in supporting renewed debate on the proposed United Nations Arms Trade Treaty, confirming the worst fears of the American gun rights community."
With 54 Dems in the Senate, it only takes 12 liberal Republicans to crossover and vote for ratification. They don’t have that many right now, but who knows what pressure can be brought to bear on compromised politicians. Internationalists have an even greater chance at enacting the dangerous "Law of the Sea" treaty and a possible international financial transaction tax to boost UN funding for all the radical social and environment causes it pushes. Sen. Diane Feinstein (D Ca) is already moving ahead to ban all assault rifles, high capacity magazines, and pistol grips
3) More disarmament treaties with Russia, and tolerance of China’s aggressive meddling in the Western Pacific. Russia is hoping to cash in on Obama’s off-the-mic comment to former pres. Medvedev that after the election he would have "more flexibility" in defeating that pesky anti-missile shield Russia knows is aimed at its rockets.
4) Obama will continue his pro-abortion and pro-gay actions over the next four years. Americans also rightly fear more violation of their religious liberty, particularly through the Health and Human Services contraceptive mandate forcing Church-run agencies and charities to provide contraception and medical coverage of abortion to their employees.
5) Obamacare will be fully implemented and only a few favored minorities will be excused. Cost increases will crush profitability and force many insurers to go out of business because of the coverage mandates. Premium price controls will be instigated, and government will have every excuse to come to the rescue with "cheaper" government controlled insurance—the door into full socialized medicine. Millions of doctors will retire, and healthcare will be rationed.
6) The Obama team will hasten their attack on the natural health industry to crush competition and to make sure people have less options to flee the failing drug-driven health care system. Vaccines will become more and more mandated in various professions and schools.
7) Taxes will rise, especially for the rich, even if the Bush tax cuts are extended. They should be made permanent. At some point in the future, the establishment will have the votes to deny any further extensions, and then the dreaded Alternative Minimum Tax will start devouring all of us as inflation pushes us up in the higher brackets. The unfair estate tax will be back and government will start gobbling up all your hard earned assets at death.
8) Energy costs will rise due to continued restrictions of coal and bogus claims of man’s carbon footprint and global warming. Obama’s war on Coal will cost the nation with electric production costs expected to rise from $167 per megawatt to $357 per megawatt. U.S. Energy Information Administration reported that coal-fired power plants are now generating just 36 percent of U.S. electricity, versus 44.6 percent just one year ago.
9) There will be more amnesty granted for illegal aliens.
10) Obama will continue to use executive orders to push through what he cannot pass through legislation, and Congress will do nothing to impeach him for illegal use of this power.
But with it all, the Republicans still control the House. As Chuck Baldwin put it so well, "the GOP controls the purse strings for ALL federal spending. If the Republican Party is serious about reducing spending, they have the power to do it. All monies appropriated for federal expenditures must be authorized by the House of Representatives. So, Republicans should quit crying in their milk and start demanding that House Speaker John Boehner and the rest of the House Republican leadership start growing some man-stuff and stop funding all of these big-government, unconstitutional expenditures-including all of these foreign wars that are sapping both our freedom and our prosperity." That won’t happen, of course, but it’s the right kind of pressure for now. |
http://www.republicbroadcasting.org/index.php?cmd=columnists.article&articleID=621
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